Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 73.21%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 10.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.82%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
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