SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 69.26%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Cove Rangers win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
69.26% ( 0.7) | 18.5% ( -0.36) | 12.25% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.47% ( 0.77) | 42.53% ( -0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.07% ( 0.77) | 64.93% ( -0.77) |
| Falkirk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.84% ( 0.4) | 11.16% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.37% ( 0.88) | 35.63% ( -0.88) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.96% ( -0.07) | 45.04% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.04% ( -0.05) | 80.96% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Falkirk | Draw | Cove Rangers |
| 2-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.19)2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.83% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.09)4-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.1)5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.76% Total : 69.25% | 1-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 5.03% ( -0.17)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.84% Total : 18.5% | 0-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.18% Total : 12.25% |
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