Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 17.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a East Fife win it was 0-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
