Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 40.28%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.6%) and 0-2 (5.95%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 2-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
