Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for East Fife had a probability of 34.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest East Fife win was 2-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
