Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Forfar Athletic had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Forfar Athletic win was 1-0 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.