Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 55.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
