Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 36.93%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 1-0 (11.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.