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Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 17, 2021 at 3pm UK
East End Park
D

Dunfermline
5 - 1
Dumbarton

Todorov (2'), Thomas (4'), Wighton (29'), Buchanan (51' og.), O'Hara (71')
FT(HT: 3-0)
MacLean (56')
Coverage of the Scottish League Cup Group Stage clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Dumbarton.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 58.64%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 18.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dunfermline Athletic would win this match.

Result
Dunfermline AthleticDrawDumbarton
58.64%23.03%18.34%
Both teams to score 48.85%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.87%50.13%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.91%72.09%
Dunfermline Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21%16.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25%46.75%
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.71%41.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19%77.81%
Score Analysis
    Dunfermline Athletic 58.63%
    Dumbarton 18.34%
    Draw 23.03%
Dunfermline AthleticDrawDumbarton
1-0 @ 12.37%
2-0 @ 11.03%
2-1 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 6.57%
3-1 @ 5.81%
4-0 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 2.59%
3-2 @ 2.57%
4-2 @ 1.15%
5-0 @ 1.05%
5-1 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 58.63%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.93%
2-2 @ 4.32%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 23.03%
0-1 @ 6.13%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.71%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.34%

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