Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 75.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Brechin City had a probability of 9.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.99%) and 0-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.37%), while for a Brechin City win it was 1-0 (2.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.