Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Stenhousemuir had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.29%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Stenhousemuir win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
