Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Annan Athletic win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
