Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for East Fife had a probability of 14.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.27%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a East Fife win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
