SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Dundee | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Greenock Morton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Hamilton Academical | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Annan Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dumbarton | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45.01%. A win for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.94%). The likeliest Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
45.01% ( 0.04) | 25.75% ( -0.02) | 29.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( 0.07) | 51.01% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( 0.06) | 72.87% ( -0.07) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.38% ( 0.04) | 22.61% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.77% ( 0.07) | 56.23% ( -0.08) |
| Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.23% ( 0.02) | 31.77% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.8% ( 0.03) | 68.2% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.94% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.93% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.46% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.15% Total : 45% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.74% | 0-1 @ 8.24% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.72% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.81% ( -0)Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.24% |
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