Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 35.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.28%). The likeliest Edinburgh City win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.