Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.