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EC
Scottish League Two | Gameweek 4
May 1, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ainslie Park Stadium
EC

Edinburgh
2 - 0
Elgin

Campbell (6'), Brown (38')
Black (9'), Thomson (70')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McHardy (14')
Coverage of the Scottish League Two clash between Edinburgh City and Elgin City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Edinburgh City win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Elgin City had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Edinburgh City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Elgin City win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Edinburgh City would win this match.

Result
Edinburgh CityDrawElgin City
37.93%25.28%36.79%
Both teams to score 56.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.05%46.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.8%69.2%
Edinburgh City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.64%24.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.24%58.75%
Elgin City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.02%24.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.38%59.62%
Score Analysis
    Edinburgh City 37.93%
    Elgin City 36.79%
    Draw 25.27%
Edinburgh CityDrawElgin City
1-0 @ 8.59%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 6.07%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 1.4%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 37.93%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 6.08%
2-2 @ 5.84%
3-3 @ 1.27%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.44%
1-2 @ 8.27%
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 3.82%
0-3 @ 2.71%
2-3 @ 2.7%
1-4 @ 1.33%
0-4 @ 0.94%
2-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 36.79%

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