Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 52.31%. A win for Albion Rovers had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Albion Rovers win was 1-2 (6.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
