Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 57.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 20.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.62%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 1-0 (5.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.
