Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elgin City win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Stirling Albion had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elgin City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Stirling Albion win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elgin City would win this match.