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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 7
Sep 26, 2021 at 12pm UK
St Mirren Park
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St Mirren
3 - 2
Aberdeen

Ronan (14', 58'), Fraser (61')
Fraser (33')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Brown (18'), Ramirez (34')
Jenks (27'), Ferguson (50'), Brown (66'), Ramsey (90+2'), Hayes (90+2')
Jenks (51')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
36.62%31.29%32.09%
Both teams to score 38.72%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.98%69.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.4%86.6%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.86%36.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.08%72.92%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.63%39.37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.93%76.07%
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 36.62%
    Aberdeen 32.09%
    Draw 31.27%
St MirrenDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 14.48%
2-0 @ 7.37%
2-1 @ 6.87%
3-0 @ 2.5%
3-1 @ 2.33%
3-2 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 36.62%
0-0 @ 14.22%
1-1 @ 13.49%
2-2 @ 3.2%
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 31.27%
0-1 @ 13.26%
1-2 @ 6.29%
0-2 @ 6.18%
1-3 @ 1.96%
0-3 @ 1.92%
2-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 32.09%

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