Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.62%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.37%) and 2-1 (6.87%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (13.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
36.62%	31.29%	32.09%

Both teams to score 38.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

30.98%

69.02%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.4%

86.6%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86%

36.14%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08%

72.92%

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.63%

39.37%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.93%

76.07%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 36.62%

Aberdeen 32.09%

Draw 31.27%

St Mirren	Draw	Aberdeen
1-0 @ 14.48% 2-0 @ 7.37% 2-1 @ 6.87% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-1 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.98% Total : 36.62%	0-0 @ 14.22% 1-1 @ 13.49% 2-2 @ 3.2% Other @ 0.36% Total : 31.27%	0-1 @ 13.26% 1-2 @ 6.29% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.49% Total : 32.09%