SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 39.35%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (6.57%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
39.35% ( -0.2) | 25.77% ( -0.05) | 34.88% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 54.85% ( 0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.69% ( 0.25) | 49.3% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.64% ( 0.22) | 71.36% ( -0.22) |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.33% ( 0.01) | 24.66% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.8% ( 0.01) | 59.19% ( -0.01) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.81% ( 0.27) | 27.18% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% ( 0.35) | 62.58% ( -0.35) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.02% Total : 34.88% |
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