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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.29%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 30.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
43.29% ( -1.02) | 25.91% ( 0.26) | 30.79% ( 0.76) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.99% ( -0.79) | 51.01% ( 0.79) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.13% ( -0.69) | 72.87% ( 0.69) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.83) | 23.43% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( -1.22) | 57.43% ( 1.22) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.34% ( 0.13) | 30.66% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.09% ( 0.16) | 66.91% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 7.57% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.29% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 7.28% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.07% Total : 30.79% |
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