Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.74%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
52.55% ( -0.53) | 24.7% ( 0.26) | 22.75% ( 0.28) |
Both teams to score 50.33% ( -0.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.51% ( -0.74) | 51.49% ( 0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.71% ( -0.66) | 73.29% ( 0.65) |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.43% ( -0.5) | 19.56% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.52% ( -0.82) | 51.48% ( 0.82) |
Ross County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.57% ( -0.16) | 37.43% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.79% ( -0.15) | 74.21% ( 0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
1-0 @ 11.94% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.21% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.54% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.7% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.54% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.67% Total : 22.76% |
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