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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 3pm UK
Tynecastle
SM

Hearts
2 - 0
St Mirren

Mackay-Steven (61'), Kingsley (75')
Devlin (68'), Halliday (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shaughnessy (16'), Flynn (62'), Alnwick (90+6')
Shaughnessy (90+5')

We said: Hearts 2-1 St Mirren

Even though Hearts have been in poor form recently, the club do have a stronger squad and they have proven themselves to be tough to defeat throughout the campaign. They should have enough quality to earn the three points in this particular fixture, keeping themselves in the hunt at the top of the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 61.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.28%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.

Result
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
61.34%21.88%16.78%
Both teams to score 49.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.14%47.86%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.95%70.05%
Hearts Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.9%15.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.35%43.65%
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.16%41.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.71%78.29%
Score Analysis
    Hearts 61.33%
    St Mirren 16.78%
    Draw 21.88%
HeartsDrawSt Mirren
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-0 @ 11.28%
2-1 @ 9.84%
3-0 @ 7.11%
3-1 @ 6.2%
4-0 @ 3.36%
4-1 @ 2.93%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-2 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 61.33%
1-1 @ 10.4%
0-0 @ 6.32%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 21.88%
0-1 @ 5.51%
1-2 @ 4.54%
0-2 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.78%

Read more!
Read more!


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