Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 17.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.81%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Hamilton Academical win it was 0-1 (5.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
