Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
