SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 60.49%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 16.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.25%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
60.49% ( 0.06) | 23.23% ( 0.08) | 16.27% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( -0.5) | 53.95% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( -0.42) | 75.4% ( 0.42) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.49% ( -0.16) | 17.5% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.99% ( -0.28) | 48.01% ( 0.27) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.88% ( -0.48) | 46.12% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.18% ( -0.38) | 81.81% ( 0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.11)2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.05)4-0 @ 3.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.4% Total : 60.47% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.6% Total : 23.22% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.36% Total : 16.27% |
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