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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 25
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Rugby Park
LL

Kilmarnock
1 - 0
Livingston

Watkins (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sangare (85'), George (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston

Kilmarnock earned a respectable point at Motherwell last time out, and with January arrival Van Veen set for his full debut, the hosts will be confident of easing past Livingston on Wednesday. The Lions will have more chances to impress in an attacking sense than they did at Ibrox on the weekend, nevertheless we feel that the end result will be the same at Rugby Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 13.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
66.54% (-0.873 -0.87) 19.76% (0.453 0.45) 13.7% (0.421 0.42)
Both teams to score 48.83% (-0.321 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (-1.047 -1.05)44.75% (1.048 1.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (-1.018 -1.02)67.11% (1.019 1.02)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.46% (-0.553 -0.55)12.54% (0.554 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.41% (-1.162 -1.16)38.59% (1.164 1.16)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.84% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)44.16% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)80.25% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 66.54%
    Livingston 13.7%
    Draw 19.76%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
2-0 @ 11.93% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-0 @ 11.5% (0.28 0.28)
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.26% (-0.159 -0.16)
3-1 @ 6.75% (-0.133 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.29% (-0.178 -0.18)
4-1 @ 3.5% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.76% (-0.055 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.78% (-0.114 -0.11)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.093 -0.09)
4-2 @ 1.43% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 66.54%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.219 0.22)
0-0 @ 5.54% (0.247 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 19.76%
0-1 @ 4.53% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 3.84% (0.088 0.09)
0-2 @ 1.85% (0.08 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.05% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 13.7%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Hibernian
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Rangers 3-1 Kilmarnock
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-2 Dundee
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Rangers 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-2 Ross County
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 1-4 Dundee
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Raith Rovers
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup
Last Game: Livingston 1-2 Hearts
Tuesday, January 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-1 Livingston
Saturday, December 30 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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