Livingston
2 - 1
Hamilton

Emmanuel-Thomas (16'), Pittman (36')
Devlin (5'), Holt (42')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Smith (30')
Smith (45+1'), Martin (90+2')

Build‑up

Nicky Devlin wants "really special" end to season with Livingston

David Martindale hails Livingston's "unbelievable effort" after top-six finish

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 25.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.

Result
Livingston	Draw	Hamilton Academical
48.75%	25.39%	25.85%

Both teams to score 51.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36%

51.63%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58%

73.42%

Livingston Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8%

21.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.92%

54.08%

Hamilton Academical Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.24%

34.75%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.51%

71.48%

Score Analysis

Livingston 48.74%

Hamilton Academical 25.85%

Draw 25.39%

Livingston	Draw	Hamilton Academical
1-0 @ 11.42% 2-1 @ 9.37% 2-0 @ 8.86% 3-1 @ 4.85% 3-0 @ 4.58% 3-2 @ 2.56% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.78% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.45% Total : 48.74%	1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.39%	0-1 @ 7.79% 1-2 @ 6.38% 0-2 @ 4.11% 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.13% Total : 25.85%