Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Johnstone win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Johnstone win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.39%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for St Johnstone in this match.