SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rangers win with a probability of 82.26%. A draw had a probability of 11.9% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 5.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rangers win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.8%) and 1-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.67%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (2.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rangers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rangers | Draw | St Johnstone |
82.26% ( 0.34) | 11.95% ( -0.14) | 5.8% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 44.17% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.97% ( -0.24) | 33.03% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.24% ( -0.28) | 54.76% ( 0.28) |
| Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.01% ( 0.02) | 5.99% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 77.15% ( 0.05) | 22.85% ( -0.05) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.98% ( -0.81) | 53.02% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.34% ( -0.52) | 86.66% ( 0.52) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rangers | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-0 @ 12.58% ( 0.18) 3-0 @ 11.8% ( 0.18)1-0 @ 8.94% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.99% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.08)5-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.08)6-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.05)6-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.64% Total : 82.25% | 1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.56% Total : 11.95% | 0-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.98% Total : 5.8% |
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