SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 58.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for St Johnstone had a probability of 19.04%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a St Johnstone win it was 0-1 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
58.56% ( -0.03) | 22.4% ( -0.02) | 19.04% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.04% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.5% ( 0.17) | 46.5% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.22% ( 0.16) | 68.78% ( -0.15) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.45% ( 0.05) | 15.55% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.5% ( 0.09) | 44.49% ( -0.09) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.62% ( 0.15) | 38.38% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.87% ( 0.15) | 75.13% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hearts | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 10.33% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 58.55% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.39% | 0-1 @ 5.72% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.74% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.35% Total : 19.04% |
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