SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
32.35% ( 0.06) | 26.55% ( -0.01) | 41.11% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 51.71% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.93% ( 0.08) | 53.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.34% ( 0.06) | 74.66% ( -0.06) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.36% ( 0.07) | 30.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.11% ( 0.09) | 66.89% ( -0.09) |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% ( 0.01) | 25.45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% ( 0.02) | 60.28% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 32.35% | 1-1 @ 12.62% 0-0 @ 7.8% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.55% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.11% |
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