Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aberdeen in this match.
