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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 2
Aug 20, 2020 at 7.30pm UK
McDiarmid Park
AL

St Johnstone
0 - 1
Aberdeen


Craig (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Hedges (82')
Ferguson (53'), Hedges (88'), McCrorie (89')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 28.59% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (8.38%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Aberdeen in this match.

Result
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
28.59%27%44.41%
Both teams to score 48.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.81%56.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.75%77.24%
St Johnstone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01%34.98%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27%71.72%
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.83%25.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.11%59.88%
Score Analysis
    St Johnstone 28.59%
    Aberdeen 44.4%
    Draw 26.99%
St JohnstoneDrawAberdeen
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 6.7%
2-0 @ 4.86%
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-0 @ 1.7%
3-2 @ 1.62%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 28.59%
1-1 @ 12.75%
0-0 @ 8.8%
2-2 @ 4.62%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 12.14%
1-2 @ 8.8%
0-2 @ 8.38%
1-3 @ 4.05%
0-3 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 2.13%
1-4 @ 1.4%
0-4 @ 1.33%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 44.4%


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