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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ross County win with a probability of 44.76%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ross County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
30.1% ( -0.45) | 25.14% ( -0) | 44.76% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.96% ( -0.2) | 48.03% ( 0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.8% ( -0.18) | 70.2% ( 0.18) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.36% ( -0.41) | 29.63% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.32% ( -0.5) | 65.68% ( 0.5) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.52% ( 0.13) | 21.47% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.49% ( 0.19) | 54.5% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Johnstone | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.24% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.31% Total : 30.1% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.36% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.79% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.16% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.48% Total : 44.76% |
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