SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 24.66% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hibernian would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
51.53% ( -0.07) | 23.8% ( 0) | 24.66% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.04) | 45.97% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.72% ( 0.04) | 68.27% ( -0.04) |
| Hibernian Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( -0.02) | 17.85% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.39% ( -0.02) | 48.6% ( 0.01) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.3% ( 0.07) | 32.69% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.75% ( 0.08) | 69.24% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hibernian | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.66% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.98% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.11% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.4% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 11.24% 0-0 @ 5.84% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.8% | 0-1 @ 6.52% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.28% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 24.66% |
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