St Mirren
1 - 0
Ross County

McGrath (82' pen.)
Alnwick (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tremarco (28')

Build‑up

Jim Goodwin targeting top-six finish for St Mirren

John Hughes "bitterly disappointed" at penalty call in St Mirren defeat

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 45.24%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 28.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Ross County win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Ross County
45.24%	26.47%	28.29%

Both teams to score 50.02%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.66%

54.34%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28%

75.72%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.06%

23.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.84%

58.17%

Ross County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.77%

34.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.07%

70.93%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 45.23%

Ross County 28.29%

Draw 26.46%

St Mirren	Draw	Ross County
1-0 @ 11.71% 2-1 @ 8.98% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 4.28% 3-0 @ 3.99% 3-2 @ 2.29% 4-1 @ 1.53% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.65% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.81% Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.46%	0-1 @ 8.79% 1-2 @ 6.73% 0-2 @ 4.71% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.72% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.26% Total : 28.29%