Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.46%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 35.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.