Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 36.3%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.45% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
35.45%	28.25%	36.3%

Both teams to score 47.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.81%

59.19%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.38%

79.62%

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.31%

31.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.89%

68.11%

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.85%

31.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.52%

67.48%

Score Analysis

St Mirren 35.44%

Kilmarnock 36.3%

Draw 28.25%

St Mirren	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.6% 2-0 @ 6.52% 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.5% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.44%	1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.87% 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.25%	0-1 @ 11.51% 1-2 @ 7.72% 0-2 @ 6.72% 1-3 @ 3% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.72% Other @ 3.02% Total : 36.3%