SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 48.33%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 25.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.36%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burgos | Draw | Castellon |
48.33% ( -0.28) | 26.09% ( 0.15) | 25.58% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 49.13% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.49% ( -0.49) | 54.51% ( 0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.13% ( -0.41) | 75.86% ( 0.41) |
| Burgos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.33) | 22.57% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.83% ( -0.5) | 56.17% ( 0.49) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.45% ( -0.16) | 36.55% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.66% ( -0.17) | 73.34% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Burgos | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 12.27% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.53% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.32% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.16)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.18% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 25.58% |
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