SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 61.91%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 17.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.83%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eibar | Draw | Castellon |
61.91% ( 1.33) | 20.84% ( -0.68) | 17.25% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 53.76% ( 0.97) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.48% ( 1.93) | 42.52% ( -1.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.08% ( 1.9) | 64.92% ( -1.9) |
| Eibar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( 1.02) | 13.2% ( -1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.08% ( 2.03) | 39.92% ( -2.03) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.93% ( 0.39) | 38.06% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.17% ( 0.38) | 74.83% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eibar | Draw | Castellon |
| 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.49)2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.25)4-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.25)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0.16)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.15)Other @ 3.21% Total : 61.91% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.45)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.84% | 0-1 @ 4.85% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 2.34% ( -0.15)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 17.25% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
