SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Castellon had a probability of 15.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.19%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.25%), while for a Castellon win it was 0-1 (5.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Castellon |
63.26% ( 0.18) | 21.63% ( -0.08) | 15.11% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 46.53% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.25% ( 0.13) | 49.75% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.24% ( 0.11) | 71.76% ( -0.11) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.89% ( 0.1) | 15.11% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.33% ( 0.19) | 43.67% ( -0.19) |
| Castellon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.81% ( -0.07) | 45.18% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.92% ( -0.06) | 81.08% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Castellon |
| 1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 12.19% ( 0.03)2-1 @ 9.69% 3-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.63% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.16% Total : 63.26% | 1-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.71% Total : 21.63% | 0-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 1.36% Total : 15.11% |
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