Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burgos win with a probability of 34.82%. A win for Huesca had a probability of 34.28% and a draw had a probability of 30.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burgos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.84%) and 2-1 (6.78%). The likeliest Huesca win was 0-1 (13.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burgos would win this match.
