Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a UD Ibiza win with a probability of 39.81%. A draw had a probability of 31.8% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 28.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a UD Ibiza win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.36%) and 2-1 (6.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.34%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that UD Ibiza would win this match.
