Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 43.59%. A draw had a probability of 30.1% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 26.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 2-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.36%), while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cadiz would win this match.