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Segunda Division | Gameweek 36
Jun 28, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos

Numancia
1 - 0
Real Oviedo

Marin (24')
Bernardo (33'), Escassi (45+4'), Hernandez (45+6'), Moran (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fernandez Salas (21')
Joel Barcenas (63')
Coverage of the Segunda Division clash between Numancia and Real Oviedo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Numancia win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 30.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Numancia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Real Oviedo win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Numancia in this match.

Result
NumanciaDrawReal Oviedo
40.87%28.44%30.68%
Both teams to score 45.57%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.44%60.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.33%80.66%
Numancia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98%65.01%
Real Oviedo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.27%35.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.5%72.49%
Score Analysis
    Numancia 40.87%
    Real Oviedo 30.67%
    Draw 28.43%
NumanciaDrawReal Oviedo
1-0 @ 12.83%
2-1 @ 8.15%
2-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 3.36%
3-0 @ 3.26%
3-2 @ 1.73%
4-1 @ 1.04%
4-0 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 40.87%
1-1 @ 13.2%
0-0 @ 10.39%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 10.69%
1-2 @ 6.8%
0-2 @ 5.51%
1-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.89%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 30.67%


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