Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Deportivo La Coruna had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Deportivo La Coruna win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.