Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 63.1%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Burgos had a probability of 14.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.83%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for a Burgos win it was 0-1 (5.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.