Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Real Sociedad B had a probability of 22.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Real Sociedad B win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Eibar would win this match.
