Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 42.49%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Lugo had a probability of 27.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Lugo win it was 1-0 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
